000 WTNT80 EGRR 021617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.09.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 115.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2015 15.8N 115.0W WEAK 00UTC 03.09.2015 17.0N 115.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.6N 114.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.7N 114.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 21.1N 113.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 22.3N 113.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 23.9N 113.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 25.3N 113.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N 30.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2015 19.7N 30.4W WEAK 00UTC 03.09.2015 20.1N 32.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 20.9N 33.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 21.3N 35.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 21.5N 37.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 21.5N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 22.0N 40.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 22.9N 41.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 23.1N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 24.5N 43.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 25.8N 44.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 27.0N 45.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 28.7N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 25.3N 156.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2015 25.3N 156.8W STRONG 00UTC 03.09.2015 27.0N 158.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2015 28.1N 161.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 29.4N 163.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 30.9N 163.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2015 33.5N 164.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 36.7N 164.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 40.7N 164.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2015 44.0N 163.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 47.0N 159.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2015 49.8N 152.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2015 52.5N 143.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 54.7N 132.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 142.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2015 17.8N 142.5W INTENSE 00UTC 03.09.2015 18.4N 143.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 19.1N 144.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.7N 144.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 20.2N 144.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 20.9N 145.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 21.7N 145.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2015 23.1N 146.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2015 24.9N 147.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 26.4N 149.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 27.5N 150.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2015 28.6N 151.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2015 29.4N 152.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.3N 28.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2015 13.5N 29.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 14.3N 32.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 15.2N 35.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 16.2N 38.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 17.1N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 34.1N 58.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2015 34.5N 58.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 33.2N 56.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 34.9N 55.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 17.4N 116.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2015 18.2N 117.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021617