000 WTNT80 EGRR 011617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.09.2015 TROPICAL STORM FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 26.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2015 18.1N 26.5W MODERATE 00UTC 02.09.2015 18.8N 28.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 19.4N 29.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 20.0N 31.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 20.5N 32.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 20.8N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 20.9N 35.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 21.0N 37.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 21.9N 39.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 22.4N 40.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 23.5N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 24.0N 45.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 24.8N 47.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.9N 113.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2015 12.9N 113.9W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2015 13.9N 115.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 15.5N 115.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 16.9N 115.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.8N 115.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 20.7N 114.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 22.6N 113.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2015 24.7N 112.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2015 27.8N 111.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 139.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2015 16.4N 139.6W MODERATE 00UTC 02.09.2015 16.9N 141.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2015 17.6N 142.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 18.1N 142.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.5N 143.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.0N 143.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 19.4N 144.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 19.8N 144.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 20.3N 145.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2015 21.1N 146.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2015 21.7N 147.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 22.5N 149.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 23.4N 151.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 23.1N 153.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.1N 153.5W STRONG 00UTC 02.09.2015 24.0N 155.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2015 25.4N 156.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 26.7N 158.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 27.7N 161.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 28.6N 163.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 29.4N 163.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 31.4N 164.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 33.6N 164.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 37.3N 164.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 40.5N 164.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 43.4N 163.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2015 45.8N 161.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 33.0N 60.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2015 33.0N 60.8W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 011617