000 WHXX01 KWBC 311827 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1827 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED (AL062015) 20150831 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 150831 1800 150901 0600 150901 1800 150902 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.9N 24.2W 17.8N 26.1W 18.7N 28.0W 19.6N 29.5W BAMD 16.9N 24.2W 18.3N 25.7W 19.8N 27.0W 21.2N 28.0W BAMM 16.9N 24.2W 18.2N 26.0W 19.4N 27.6W 20.4N 28.8W LBAR 16.9N 24.2W 18.3N 25.8W 20.1N 27.5W 21.9N 28.8W SHIP 75KTS 75KTS 70KTS 64KTS DSHP 75KTS 75KTS 70KTS 64KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 150902 1800 150903 1800 150904 1800 150905 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.4N 30.8W 22.5N 33.4W 24.6N 36.3W 27.2N 38.4W BAMD 22.7N 28.7W 25.4N 28.9W 26.3N 28.8W 26.3N 27.4W BAMM 21.2N 29.9W 22.5N 32.0W 23.4N 34.2W 24.2N 35.8W LBAR 23.7N 29.7W 27.1N 29.1W 28.3N 26.3W 28.4N 22.6W SHIP 54KTS 40KTS 30KTS 25KTS DSHP 54KTS 40KTS 30KTS 25KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.9N LONCUR = 24.2W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 15.4N LONM12 = 22.5W DIRM12 = 312DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 14.1N LONM24 = 20.8W WNDCUR = 75KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 70KT CENPRS = 986MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 70NM RD34SE = 70NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN