000 WTNT80 EGRR 310418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.08.2015 TROPICAL STORM FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 22.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2015 14.5N 22.0W MODERATE 12UTC 31.08.2015 16.1N 23.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 17.6N 25.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2015 18.8N 27.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 19.6N 29.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 20.2N 30.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 21.2N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 22.2N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 23.0N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 23.4N 36.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 24.1N 38.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 24.3N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 24.7N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 149.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.3N 149.2W STRONG 12UTC 31.08.2015 20.7N 150.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 22.2N 151.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.5N 152.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2015 24.7N 154.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 26.1N 155.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 27.4N 157.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2015 28.7N 159.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 29.9N 160.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2015 31.6N 161.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 34.2N 160.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2015 37.5N 160.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 40.0N 160.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 131.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2015 15.0N 131.8W STRONG 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.4N 134.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 16.1N 137.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 16.5N 139.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 17.0N 140.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2015 17.2N 141.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 17.5N 142.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 17.6N 143.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 18.1N 144.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 18.6N 144.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 19.4N 145.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 20.2N 146.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 20.9N 146.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE KILO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 178.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP032015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.4N 178.1W MODERATE 12UTC 31.08.2015 20.3N 178.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 21.7N 178.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.0N 179.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 23.7N 179.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2015 23.9N 180.0E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 24.0N 179.4E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 23.8N 178.8E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 23.3N 177.7E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 22.8N 176.5E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 22.6N 175.1E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 22.8N 173.7E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2015 23.2N 172.1E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 13.0N 112.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.09.2015 13.0N 113.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 13.2N 115.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 14.4N 116.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 15.5N 118.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 17.0N 119.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.3N 119.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.8N 118.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2015 21.0N 118.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2015 22.0N 117.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2015 23.5N 116.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 25.3N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 310418