000 WTNT80 EGRR 301617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.08.2015 TROPICAL STORM FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 19.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2015 12.5N 19.7W MODERATE 00UTC 31.08.2015 14.2N 22.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.9N 23.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 17.5N 25.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 18.7N 27.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 19.7N 29.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 20.5N 30.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 21.7N 31.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 22.8N 33.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 23.6N 34.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 24.4N 36.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 24.9N 37.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 25.2N 38.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 148.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2015 18.1N 148.2W STRONG 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.5N 149.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2015 20.8N 150.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 22.2N 151.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.2N 153.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 24.5N 154.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 25.7N 156.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 27.1N 157.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 28.4N 159.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 29.8N 160.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 31.7N 161.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2015 34.4N 161.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2015 37.0N 161.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 129.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2015 13.9N 129.2W STRONG 00UTC 31.08.2015 14.9N 131.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.5N 135.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 16.0N 137.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 16.5N 139.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 16.9N 140.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 17.2N 141.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 17.4N 142.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 17.5N 143.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 17.8N 144.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 18.3N 145.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 18.9N 146.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 19.7N 147.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE KILO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N 177.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP032015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2015 18.4N 177.1W STRONG 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.3N 178.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 20.6N 178.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 22.2N 178.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.6N 178.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2015 24.2N 179.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 24.5N 179.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 24.2N 179.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 23.7N 180.0E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 23.1N 179.3E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 22.8N 178.4E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 22.8N 177.0E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 22.5N 175.3E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.0N 114.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2015 12.7N 115.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 13.7N 116.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 15.6N 118.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 17.2N 119.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.5N 120.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.8N 120.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 20.8N 119.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2015 21.4N 119.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2015 22.5N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301617