000 WTNT80 EGRR 291618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.08.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.2N 75.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2015 21.2N 75.4W WEAK 00UTC 30.08.2015 23.0N 78.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 24.7N 81.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 26.2N 82.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 27.9N 83.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 29.4N 83.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 30.5N 83.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 31.3N 83.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 31.9N 83.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 32.0N 83.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 32.5N 82.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 32.1N 81.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 32.5N 80.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 146.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2015 15.8N 146.3W STRONG 00UTC 30.08.2015 16.9N 147.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 18.4N 148.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.9N 150.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 21.2N 151.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 22.5N 153.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.9N 154.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 25.3N 155.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 26.7N 157.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 28.3N 158.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 29.5N 159.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 30.4N 159.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2015 31.2N 159.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 125.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2015 12.5N 125.3W MODERATE 00UTC 30.08.2015 13.1N 127.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 13.9N 129.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 14.9N 131.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.3N 134.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 16.0N 136.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 16.4N 138.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 16.5N 140.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 16.7N 141.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 16.7N 142.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 16.7N 143.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 16.8N 144.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 17.3N 144.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE KILO ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 173.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP032015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2015 18.0N 173.9W STRONG 00UTC 30.08.2015 18.0N 175.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 18.6N 177.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.7N 178.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2015 21.1N 179.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 22.7N 179.6E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.9N 179.0E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 24.7N 178.4E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 25.3N 177.7E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 25.6N 176.9E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 25.8N 176.2E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 26.1N 175.5E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 26.7N 175.0E INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.2N 18.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2015 11.2N 18.2W WEAK 12UTC 30.08.2015 12.6N 20.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 13.7N 22.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.0N 24.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2015 16.8N 26.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 18.3N 28.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 19.8N 30.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 20.5N 32.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 21.4N 33.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 22.4N 34.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 23.5N 36.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 24.7N 37.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 15.8N 117.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2015 15.9N 117.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 17.3N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.8N 119.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 20.0N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 21.1N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291618