000 WHXX01 KWBC 281833 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1833 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL052015) 20150828 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 150828 1800 150829 0600 150829 1800 150830 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.6N 70.4W 19.1N 73.7W 20.4N 77.0W 21.4N 79.8W BAMD 17.6N 70.4W 18.4N 72.3W 18.9N 74.3W 19.3N 76.4W BAMM 17.6N 70.4W 18.5N 73.0W 19.3N 75.6W 19.9N 78.1W LBAR 17.6N 70.4W 18.2N 73.4W 19.2N 76.5W 20.3N 79.6W SHIP 45KTS 43KTS 41KTS 45KTS DSHP 45KTS 40KTS 32KTS 30KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 150830 1800 150831 1800 150901 1800 150902 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 22.4N 82.3W 23.6N 85.9W 24.5N 89.1W 25.3N 91.9W BAMD 19.7N 78.6W 20.6N 82.7W 21.4N 86.4W 22.8N 89.0W BAMM 20.7N 80.4W 21.8N 84.3W 22.9N 87.7W 24.2N 90.0W LBAR 21.8N 82.4W 25.5N 85.8W 29.7N 86.6W 34.5N 85.1W SHIP 51KTS 58KTS 65KTS 68KTS DSHP 36KTS 44KTS 38KTS 28KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.6N LONCUR = 70.4W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 17KT LATM12 = 17.4N LONM12 = 66.9W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 = 18KT LATM24 = 16.5N LONM24 = 63.5W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN