000 WTNT80 EGRR 280418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.08.2015 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 65.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2015 17.3N 65.1W WEAK 12UTC 28.08.2015 17.5N 68.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2015 19.5N 71.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2015 21.2N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2015 22.8N 78.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 23.8N 80.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 25.3N 82.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 25.9N 83.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 27.0N 83.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2015 28.5N 83.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2015 30.4N 83.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2015 32.5N 83.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 34.5N 82.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 141.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2015 13.1N 141.4W STRONG 12UTC 28.08.2015 14.0N 143.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2015 14.9N 144.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2015 15.5N 145.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2015 16.4N 146.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 17.4N 147.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 18.3N 149.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 18.9N 150.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 19.7N 151.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 20.6N 152.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 22.1N 154.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 23.3N 156.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 24.2N 158.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 119.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2015 12.2N 119.5W MODERATE 12UTC 28.08.2015 12.0N 121.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 29.08.2015 12.3N 124.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2015 12.7N 126.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2015 13.4N 128.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2015 14.2N 131.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2015 15.0N 134.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.8N 136.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 16.7N 138.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 17.5N 140.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 18.3N 141.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 18.8N 143.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 19.0N 144.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM KILO ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 168.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP032015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2015 17.5N 168.9W MODERATE 12UTC 28.08.2015 16.9N 170.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2015 16.9N 171.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2015 17.1N 173.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2015 17.5N 174.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2015 18.1N 176.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2015 19.2N 177.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2015 20.6N 178.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2015 22.2N 178.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2015 23.5N 179.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 24.3N 179.8W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2015 24.7N 179.3E INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2015 24.7N 178.2E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 14.7N 21.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2015 15.5N 21.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2015 16.9N 23.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2015 17.8N 24.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 18.4N 25.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.8N 116.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.09.2015 13.8N 116.6W WEAK 12UTC 01.09.2015 14.6N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2015 16.0N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2015 17.5N 121.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2015 18.8N 122.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 280418