000
WHXX01 KWBC 271822
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1822 UTC THU AUG 27 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL052015) 20150827 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150827  1800   150828  0600   150828  1800   150829  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.6N  63.5W   17.9N  66.8W   19.4N  70.2W   20.6N  73.4W
BAMD    16.6N  63.5W   17.3N  65.5W   18.1N  67.5W   19.1N  69.5W
BAMM    16.6N  63.5W   17.4N  66.1W   18.4N  68.7W   19.5N  71.1W
LBAR    16.6N  63.5W   17.4N  66.0W   18.3N  68.9W   19.2N  71.8W
SHIP        40KTS          39KTS          38KTS          36KTS
DSHP        40KTS          39KTS          37KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150829  1800   150830  1800   150831  1800   150901  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.7N  76.4W   23.4N  81.0W   24.3N  83.6W   24.2N  84.9W
BAMD    19.9N  71.4W   21.1N  75.4W   22.1N  78.7W   22.4N  81.3W
BAMM    20.4N  73.5W   22.2N  77.7W   23.7N  80.1W   24.6N  81.1W
LBAR    20.3N  74.9W   22.9N  79.7W   27.4N  81.4W   30.2N  81.1W
SHIP        38KTS          48KTS          63KTS          72KTS
DSHP        38KTS          48KTS          62KTS          71KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.6N LONCUR =  63.5W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  16.5N LONM12 =  60.8W DIRM12 = 268DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
LATM24 =  16.4N LONM24 =  58.2W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =  120NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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