000
WHXX01 KWBC 271228
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1228 UTC THU AUG 27 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL052015) 20150827 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150827  1200   150828  0000   150828  1200   150829  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N  62.5W   17.7N  65.5W   19.0N  68.8W   20.3N  71.9W
BAMD    16.5N  62.5W   17.1N  64.4W   17.9N  66.4W   18.9N  68.1W
BAMM    16.5N  62.5W   17.2N  64.9W   18.0N  67.4W   19.1N  69.8W
LBAR    16.5N  62.5W   17.1N  65.3W   17.9N  68.2W   18.8N  71.3W
SHIP        45KTS          48KTS          49KTS          49KTS
DSHP        45KTS          48KTS          48KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150829  1200   150830  1200   150831  1200   150901  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.4N  74.9W   23.1N  79.4W   24.0N  81.6W   23.8N  82.2W
BAMD    19.9N  69.8W   21.2N  73.3W   22.1N  76.2W   22.4N  78.5W
BAMM    20.1N  72.0W   21.7N  75.6W   23.3N  77.8W   24.3N  78.6W
LBAR    19.7N  74.3W   22.1N  79.3W   25.0N  80.7W   29.6N  79.4W
SHIP        50KTS          58KTS          69KTS          75KTS
DSHP        49KTS          57KTS          67KTS          73KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.5N LONCUR =  62.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  16.6N LONM12 =  59.5W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  16.2N LONM24 =  56.8W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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