000
WHXX01 KWBC 270631
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0631 UTC THU AUG 27 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL052015) 20150827 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150827  0600   150827  1800   150828  0600   150828  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N  60.8W   18.0N  63.8W   19.3N  67.1W   20.7N  70.3W
BAMD    16.8N  60.8W   17.4N  62.8W   18.2N  64.8W   19.1N  66.6W
BAMM    16.8N  60.8W   17.5N  63.4W   18.3N  65.9W   19.4N  68.4W
LBAR    16.8N  60.8W   17.5N  63.3W   18.4N  66.1W   19.5N  69.0W
SHIP        45KTS          47KTS          49KTS          48KTS
DSHP        45KTS          47KTS          49KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150829  0600   150830  0600   150831  0600   150901  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.8N  73.2W   23.6N  78.2W   24.9N  81.1W   25.3N  82.4W
BAMD    20.1N  68.3W   21.4N  71.8W   22.2N  75.3W   22.7N  78.2W
BAMM    20.5N  70.6W   22.0N  74.9W   23.5N  78.0W   24.9N  79.7W
LBAR    20.5N  71.9W   23.0N  76.8W   26.4N  79.1W   29.4N  79.5W
SHIP        48KTS          51KTS          60KTS          70KTS
DSHP        48KTS          51KTS          60KTS          70KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.8N LONCUR =  60.8W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  14KT
LATM12 =  16.4N LONM12 =  58.2W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  15.9N LONM24 =  55.2W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1001MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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