000
WHXX01 KWBC 261815
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC WED AUG 26 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL052015) 20150826 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150826  1800   150827  0600   150827  1800   150828  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.4N  58.2W   17.3N  61.2W   18.4N  64.3W   19.5N  67.4W
BAMD    16.4N  58.2W   16.8N  60.3W   17.4N  62.4W   18.1N  64.5W
BAMM    16.4N  58.2W   16.8N  60.8W   17.5N  63.5W   18.3N  66.1W
LBAR    16.4N  58.2W   16.9N  60.8W   17.6N  63.7W   18.5N  66.8W
SHIP        40KTS          42KTS          44KTS          45KTS
DSHP        40KTS          42KTS          44KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150828  1800   150829  1800   150830  1800   150831  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.8N  70.5W   22.7N  76.2W   23.9N  80.7W   24.1N  83.4W
BAMD    19.0N  66.5W   20.6N  70.1W   21.4N  73.7W   21.9N  76.9W
BAMM    19.4N  68.8W   21.2N  73.5W   22.6N  77.6W   23.6N  80.0W
LBAR    19.7N  69.7W   22.2N  75.1W   25.0N  78.1W   27.5N  79.4W
SHIP        44KTS          46KTS          53KTS          62KTS
DSHP        44KTS          46KTS          53KTS          42KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.4N LONCUR =  58.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  15.9N LONM12 =  55.2W DIRM12 = 280DEG SPDM12 =  15KT
LATM24 =  15.3N LONM24 =  51.9W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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