000
WTNT80 EGRR 190417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.08.2015

        TROPICAL STORM DANNY      ANALYSED POSITION : 10.7N  38.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2015  10.7N  38.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.08.2015  11.1N  41.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2015  11.3N  44.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2015  11.7N  45.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2015  12.5N  47.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2015  13.5N  49.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2015  14.7N  50.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2015  16.0N  52.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2015  17.0N  54.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2015  18.0N  57.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2015  19.1N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2015  20.8N  61.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2015  22.5N  63.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 10.3N 140.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.08.2015  10.9N 140.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2015  12.5N 139.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2015  14.1N 140.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2015  15.6N 141.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2015  16.4N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.1N 147.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.08.2015  10.1N 147.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.08.2015  10.7N 147.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2015  11.2N 148.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2015  11.9N 149.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2015  12.0N 152.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2015  12.7N 154.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2015  13.3N 157.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2015  14.0N 159.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2015  14.4N 162.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2015  14.9N 163.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2015  15.6N 164.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2015  16.7N 163.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190417