000
WTNT80 EGRR 130417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.08.2015

        TROPICAL STORM HILDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 152.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.08.2015  16.9N 152.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.08.2015  17.3N 152.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2015  17.2N 154.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2015  16.7N 156.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2015  16.8N 157.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2015  16.8N 160.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2015  16.9N 162.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2015  17.2N 164.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 16.3N 111.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2015  16.8N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2015  18.4N 115.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2015  20.6N 118.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2015  22.7N 121.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2015  23.9N 124.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2015  25.0N 127.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2015  25.7N 129.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2015  26.1N 130.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 10.1N 152.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2015  10.1N 152.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2015   9.9N 152.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130417