000 WTNT80 EGRR 060418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.08.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 129.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2015 12.7N 129.3W WEAK 12UTC 06.08.2015 12.4N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2015 12.2N 133.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2015 12.7N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2015 13.2N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2015 13.9N 139.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2015 15.0N 142.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2015 16.5N 143.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2015 17.7N 145.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2015 18.5N 146.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2015 19.1N 147.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2015 19.7N 149.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.08.2015 20.3N 150.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N 151.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2015 21.6N 151.7W WEAK 12UTC 06.08.2015 22.5N 153.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2015 22.5N 156.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2015 23.0N 158.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2015 23.9N 160.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2015 25.1N 163.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2015 26.7N 166.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2015 27.3N 168.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2015 28.7N 171.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 36.2N 74.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.08.2015 36.2N 74.9W WEAK 12UTC 08.08.2015 36.5N 72.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2015 38.3N 69.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2015 42.7N 65.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2015 46.3N 62.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2015 48.8N 59.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 13.5N 133.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.08.2015 13.5N 133.2W WEAK 00UTC 11.08.2015 13.8N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2015 13.5N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.08.2015 12.7N 139.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060418