000 WTNT80 EGRR 050418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.08.2015 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N 149.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.08.2015 19.7N 149.5W MODERATE 12UTC 05.08.2015 19.6N 151.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2015 20.5N 153.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2015 21.0N 154.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2015 21.7N 157.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2015 21.7N 160.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2015 22.3N 162.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.7N 128.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2015 13.0N 129.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2015 12.1N 131.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2015 12.8N 133.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2015 13.5N 135.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2015 14.1N 137.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2015 14.7N 140.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2015 15.8N 142.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2015 16.7N 144.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2015 17.5N 145.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2015 18.1N 146.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2015 18.9N 148.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 36.5N 74.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.08.2015 37.2N 72.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.08.2015 39.4N 69.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2015 42.2N 67.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2015 45.5N 66.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2015 48.0N 64.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2015 51.7N 60.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050418