000
WTNT80 EGRR 020418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.08.2015

             HURRICANE GUILLERMO  ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 141.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.08.2015  13.9N 141.3W    STRONG
 12UTC 02.08.2015  14.1N 143.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2015  14.6N 145.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2015  14.9N 146.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2015  15.0N 148.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2015  15.0N 151.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2015  15.1N 153.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2015  15.5N 155.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2015  16.2N 157.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2015  16.4N 160.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2015  16.8N 162.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2015  17.5N 165.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2015  18.2N 168.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 29.3N  83.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.08.2015  29.3N  83.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.08.2015  30.4N  82.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2015  32.0N  81.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2015  33.2N  78.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2015  34.5N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2015  36.1N  71.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2015  38.0N  65.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2015  41.0N  59.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2015  45.8N  50.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 10.9N  40.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2015  10.9N  40.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.08.2015  11.0N  40.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2015  11.8N  40.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2015  12.0N  41.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2015  12.7N  42.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2015  13.0N  44.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2015  13.0N  45.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2015  13.0N  47.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2015  13.8N  49.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2015  13.8N  51.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020418