000
WTNT80 EGRR 010417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.08.2015

             HURRICANE GUILLERMO  ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 135.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.08.2015  13.0N 135.7W    STRONG
 12UTC 01.08.2015  13.6N 139.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2015  14.0N 141.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2015  14.0N 144.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.08.2015  14.3N 146.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2015  14.5N 148.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2015  14.7N 150.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2015  14.7N 152.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.08.2015  14.7N 155.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2015  15.2N 157.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2015  15.7N 159.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2015  16.6N 162.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2015  17.7N 164.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 30.5N  83.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2015  31.0N  83.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.08.2015  31.5N  81.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2015  32.7N  79.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2015  33.8N  76.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2015  35.4N  73.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2015  36.4N  69.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2015  37.2N  64.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2015  38.9N  59.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2015  41.7N  52.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010417