000
WTNT80 EGRR 270417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.07.2015

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.6N 120.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.07.2015  10.6N 120.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.07.2015  10.6N 123.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015  11.1N 125.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.07.2015  11.6N 128.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2015  12.2N 131.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2015  12.7N 134.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2015  12.7N 138.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2015  13.0N 141.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 29.9N  79.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.07.2015  29.9N  79.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.07.2015  31.0N  78.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.07.2015  31.7N  79.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.07.2015  31.8N  79.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.08.2015  32.2N  79.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.08.2015  34.1N  78.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 02.08.2015  37.5N  76.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 270417