000
WTNT80 EGRR 261618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.07.2015

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 36.7N  50.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.07.2015  36.7N  50.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.07.2015  38.7N  45.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2015  39.4N  43.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2015  40.2N  39.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2015  40.8N  35.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2015  43.0N  25.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 28.5N  82.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2015  28.5N  82.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.07.2015  29.7N  84.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2015  29.6N  82.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2015  29.9N  84.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015  30.2N  83.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.07.2015  30.8N  83.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2015  30.4N  82.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2015  30.7N  82.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.08.2015  31.9N  81.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 34.2N  68.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2015  34.2N  68.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.07.2015  34.0N  64.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2015  35.8N  61.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2015  39.2N  57.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015  43.1N  56.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.07.2015  45.8N  56.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2015  46.4N  57.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 10.7N 119.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.07.2015  10.5N 121.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.07.2015  11.7N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.07.2015  11.5N 127.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2015  12.2N 130.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2015  12.7N 134.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2015  12.5N 138.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 261618