000 WTNT80 EGRR 251618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.07.2015 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 27.5N 84.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.07.2015 27.3N 83.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.07.2015 27.7N 83.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2015 28.9N 84.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2015 29.8N 84.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2015 30.5N 86.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.07.2015 30.3N 86.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2015 30.7N 87.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2015 30.6N 88.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2015 30.4N 89.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.07.2015 30.2N 90.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.5N 132.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.07.2015 14.2N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2015 14.8N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.07.2015 14.9N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2015 14.9N 140.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2015 15.5N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2015 16.2N 145.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2015 17.1N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.6N 120.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.07.2015 10.5N 122.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2015 10.7N 125.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2015 10.8N 128.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2015 11.6N 131.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2015 11.9N 135.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 35.3N 60.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.07.2015 37.5N 58.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2015 40.1N 56.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2015 43.7N 55.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2015 44.0N 54.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251618