000
WTNT80 EGRR 241618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.07.2015

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N 117.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.07.2015  21.3N 117.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.07.2015  22.5N 119.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2015  23.6N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2015  23.9N 123.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 14.9N 130.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2015  15.0N 131.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2015  15.3N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2015  15.4N 137.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2015  15.6N 140.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015  15.6N 144.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 :  9.8N 162.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2015   9.8N 162.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.07.2015  10.9N 164.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2015  11.9N 166.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2015  12.8N 168.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015  13.6N 170.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 33.7N  73.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.07.2015  34.2N  72.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2015  34.0N  70.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2015  33.9N  67.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2015  34.7N  64.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 241618