000
WTNT80 EGRR 230417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.07.2015

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 16.9N 113.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.07.2015  16.9N 113.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.07.2015  18.7N 114.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.07.2015  19.8N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2015  21.1N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.07.2015  21.9N 119.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2015  22.7N 121.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2015  23.0N 122.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 34.3N  66.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.07.2015  34.3N  66.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.07.2015  34.6N  62.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2015  34.7N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 29.8N  80.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.07.2015  30.3N  80.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.07.2015  30.4N  80.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2015  31.3N  80.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2015  31.0N  81.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 14.8N 126.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.07.2015  15.2N 127.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.07.2015  15.9N 130.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2015  16.3N 133.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 36.0N  66.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.07.2015  36.0N  66.2W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 230417