000 WTNT80 EGRR 211617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.07.2015 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.2N 112.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.07.2015 14.2N 112.4W WEAK 00UTC 22.07.2015 15.7N 112.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.07.2015 16.6N 113.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.07.2015 17.7N 113.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.07.2015 19.1N 114.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.07.2015 20.7N 116.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.07.2015 22.0N 117.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.07.2015 23.0N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.07.2015 23.9N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2015 24.1N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 35.3N 75.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.07.2015 35.3N 75.2W WEAK 00UTC 25.07.2015 33.8N 73.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.07.2015 34.4N 67.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 14.0N 123.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.07.2015 14.0N 123.6W WEAK 12UTC 27.07.2015 14.2N 127.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211617