000 WTNT80 EGRR 131617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.07.2015 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N 105.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.07.2015 16.6N 105.7W MODERATE 00UTC 14.07.2015 16.7N 106.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.07.2015 16.7N 107.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.07.2015 17.2N 108.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 17.8N 109.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.07.2015 18.6N 110.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 16.07.2015 19.5N 111.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.07.2015 20.5N 113.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2015 21.1N 114.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2015 22.5N 115.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2015 24.5N 117.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2015 27.1N 118.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.07.2015 29.9N 118.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 127.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.07.2015 15.8N 127.0W MODERATE 00UTC 14.07.2015 16.6N 128.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 17.4N 129.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 17.8N 130.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 18.6N 131.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 19.4N 132.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 20.1N 134.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2015 20.7N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2015 21.1N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2015 21.0N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2015 20.5N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2015 20.2N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2015 20.6N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IUNE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 163.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.07.2015 14.2N 163.8W WEAK 00UTC 14.07.2015 14.1N 165.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 14.0N 168.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 36.5N 69.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.07.2015 36.5N 69.3W WEAK 00UTC 14.07.2015 38.2N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 40.5N 63.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 43.3N 60.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 45.8N 57.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 36.3N 69.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.07.2015 38.0N 68.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 19.07.2015 40.2N 64.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2015 42.0N 60.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 10.6N 103.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 19.07.2015 10.6N 103.5W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 131617