000 WTNT80 EGRR 121618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.07.2015 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 101.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.07.2015 14.9N 101.5W MODERATE 00UTC 13.07.2015 15.5N 104.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 15.6N 106.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2015 15.8N 107.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.07.2015 16.6N 108.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.07.2015 17.4N 109.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.07.2015 18.4N 110.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.07.2015 19.5N 111.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.07.2015 20.6N 112.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2015 22.0N 113.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2015 23.3N 115.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2015 25.5N 116.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2015 27.9N 116.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM HALOLA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 178.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.07.2015 12.0N 178.7W MODERATE 00UTC 13.07.2015 13.0N 179.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 13.8N 177.7E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.07.2015 14.7N 175.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 15.3N 173.0E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 15.8N 170.8E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 16.5N 168.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 17.2N 166.6E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 17.9N 164.3E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.07.2015 18.5N 162.0E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2015 19.2N 159.4E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2015 20.0N 156.4E STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2015 20.8N 153.7E STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM IUNE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 160.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.07.2015 15.5N 160.1W WEAK 00UTC 13.07.2015 14.8N 161.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 14.7N 164.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2015 14.2N 165.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 14.0N 168.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 14.3N 170.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 14.3N 172.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.2N 125.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.07.2015 14.2N 125.1W WEAK 00UTC 13.07.2015 14.8N 126.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 15.8N 128.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2015 15.8N 129.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 16.2N 130.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 17.0N 131.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 17.8N 133.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 18.5N 135.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 19.4N 137.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2015 20.3N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2015 20.9N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2015 21.4N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2015 21.7N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 35.3N 73.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.07.2015 35.3N 73.9W WEAK 00UTC 13.07.2015 35.5N 71.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.07.2015 36.9N 69.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.07.2015 38.2N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 40.0N 63.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 42.5N 60.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 45.3N 56.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 47.3N 53.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 9.9N 95.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.07.2015 9.7N 95.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121618