000 WTNT80 EGRR 111618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.07.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 97.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2015 12.4N 97.9W WEAK 00UTC 12.07.2015 12.8N 101.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.07.2015 14.1N 103.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2015 15.4N 106.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 16.3N 107.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.07.2015 16.9N 109.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.07.2015 17.9N 110.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.07.2015 18.5N 111.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 19.5N 112.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 20.9N 113.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 21.7N 115.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.07.2015 22.4N 116.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2015 23.8N 117.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 151.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2015 22.5N 151.5W WEAK 00UTC 12.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM HALOLA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.6N 174.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2015 11.6N 174.7W WEAK 00UTC 12.07.2015 11.6N 176.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.07.2015 12.5N 178.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2015 13.6N 179.0E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 14.3N 176.5E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.07.2015 14.8N 174.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 15.4N 172.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 16.3N 170.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 17.4N 168.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 18.9N 165.9E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 20.5N 163.6E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2015 22.4N 161.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2015 24.5N 158.6E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 156.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2015 13.9N 156.8W WEAK 00UTC 12.07.2015 14.9N 158.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.07.2015 15.0N 160.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2015 14.5N 162.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 14.1N 164.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2015 13.7N 166.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.1N 123.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.07.2015 14.1N 123.4W WEAK 12UTC 12.07.2015 15.6N 125.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2015 16.7N 128.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 16.3N 130.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2015 16.8N 132.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 17.0N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 17.5N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 18.2N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 18.6N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 19.0N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2015 19.7N 143.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2015 20.6N 144.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 35.7N 75.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.07.2015 35.7N 75.6W WEAK 12UTC 12.07.2015 35.4N 74.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2015 35.5N 72.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2015 36.8N 70.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2015 38.2N 68.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2015 40.4N 65.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2015 43.0N 63.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2015 45.0N 59.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2015 46.2N 55.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 111618