000
WTNT80 EGRR 070418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.07.2015

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.8N 133.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2015  12.8N 133.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.07.2015  15.1N 137.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2015  16.7N 140.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2015  18.2N 143.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2015  19.7N 145.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2015  21.0N 147.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2015  22.7N 148.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2015  23.8N 150.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2015  24.1N 151.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 :  7.3N 167.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.07.2015   7.4N 167.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2015   8.5N 166.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2015  10.0N 165.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2015  11.4N 166.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2015  12.3N 167.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2015  12.7N 168.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2015  13.0N 169.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2015  13.1N 171.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2015  13.1N 172.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2015  13.5N 173.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2015  14.1N 174.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2015  15.3N 176.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 :  8.5N  94.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2015   8.5N  94.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.07.2015   8.4N  95.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2015   8.2N  96.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2015   8.1N  98.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2015   8.0N  99.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2015   7.8N 101.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2015   8.7N 102.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2015  10.0N 104.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2015  11.1N 105.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 :  9.2N  91.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.07.2015   9.2N  91.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.07.2015   9.7N  92.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2015  10.1N  93.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 10.7N 125.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2015  11.6N 125.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.07.2015  13.7N 126.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 :  7.1N 136.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.07.2015   6.8N 135.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070418