000
WTNT80 EGRR 050418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.07.2015

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.5N 139.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.07.2015  12.7N 139.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.07.2015  12.9N 140.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2015  13.8N 141.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2015  14.7N 143.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2015  15.7N 144.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2015  16.7N 145.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2015  18.3N 146.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 :  9.6N 148.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.07.2015  10.1N 148.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2015  10.5N 148.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2015  11.1N 148.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2015  11.6N 148.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2015  11.9N 148.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2015  12.9N 148.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2015  14.3N 148.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2015  16.4N 149.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2015  18.1N 151.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2015  20.1N 154.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 :  9.5N 166.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2015   9.8N 166.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2015  11.1N 165.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2015  12.2N 166.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2015  12.6N 167.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2015  12.4N 168.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2015  12.7N 169.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 :  8.1N  94.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.07.2015   8.5N  95.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2015   7.8N  96.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2015   7.6N  98.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2015   7.7N 101.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 10.6N 130.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.07.2015  10.6N 130.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.07.2015  11.7N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050418