000
WHXX01 KMIA 170622
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0622 UTC WED JUN 17 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS (EP032015) 20150617 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150617  0600   150617  1800   150618  0600   150618  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.8N 104.7W   19.6N 105.7W   20.3N 106.4W   20.7N 107.0W
BAMD    18.8N 104.7W   19.6N 105.3W   20.3N 105.8W   20.8N 106.1W
BAMM    18.8N 104.7W   19.8N 105.3W   20.4N 105.7W   20.7N 106.3W
LBAR    18.8N 104.7W   19.6N 105.2W   20.7N 106.0W   21.6N 107.0W
SHIP        60KTS          50KTS          48KTS          48KTS
DSHP        60KTS          50KTS          48KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150619  0600   150620  0600   150621  0600   150622  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.8N 107.8W   21.2N 109.5W   21.7N 111.4W   22.4N 114.1W
BAMD    21.2N 106.7W   22.0N 107.7W   23.2N 108.7W   24.7N 110.8W
BAMM    20.6N 107.0W   20.3N 108.3W   20.4N 109.6W   21.3N 111.5W
LBAR    22.4N 108.0W   23.6N 110.2W   24.7N 112.9W   26.8N 116.4W
SHIP        45KTS          43KTS          42KTS          46KTS
DSHP        45KTS          43KTS          42KTS          46KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.8N LONCUR = 104.7W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  17.6N LONM12 = 104.2W DIRM12 = 326DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  17.2N LONM24 = 103.6W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =    5NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  991MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  40NM
 
$$
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