000
WTNT80 EGRR 151617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.06.2015

        TROPICAL STORM CARLOS     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 102.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.06.2015  17.0N 102.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.06.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 25.5N  91.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.06.2015  25.5N  91.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.06.2015  27.2N  94.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.06.2015  28.5N  95.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.06.2015  30.5N  97.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.06.2015  33.8N  96.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.06.2015  36.4N  95.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.06.2015  38.0N  90.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.06.2015  40.3N  84.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.06.2015  42.0N  75.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.06.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151617