000 WTNT80 EGRR 140417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.06.2015 HURRICANE CARLOS ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 99.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.06.2015 15.6N 99.8W MODERATE 12UTC 14.06.2015 16.4N 100.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.06.2015 16.9N 102.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.06.2015 17.1N 103.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.06.2015 17.3N 104.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.06.2015 17.8N 105.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.06.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 24.0N 91.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.06.2015 24.8N 92.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.06.2015 26.5N 94.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.06.2015 27.8N 95.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.06.2015 29.4N 96.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.06.2015 31.2N 96.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.06.2015 33.1N 96.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.06.2015 34.7N 94.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.06.2015 36.3N 92.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.06.2015 37.6N 89.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.06.2015 38.5N 87.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140417