000 WTNT80 EGRR 031617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.06.2015 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N 125.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.06.2015 19.7N 125.1W MODERATE 00UTC 04.06.2015 20.1N 125.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.06.2015 19.8N 124.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.06.2015 19.4N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.06.2015 19.2N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.06.2015 18.6N 123.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.06.2015 18.3N 123.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.06.2015 17.5N 122.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.06.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE BLANCA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 104.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.06.2015 12.2N 104.5W STRONG 00UTC 04.06.2015 11.7N 104.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.06.2015 12.2N 104.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.06.2015 13.4N 105.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.06.2015 14.7N 106.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.06.2015 15.9N 107.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.06.2015 17.0N 109.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.06.2015 18.0N 109.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.06.2015 18.9N 110.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.06.2015 20.7N 110.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.06.2015 22.3N 111.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.06.2015 24.0N 112.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.06.2015 24.7N 113.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 35.7N 69.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.06.2015 35.7N 69.9W WEAK 00UTC 07.06.2015 38.1N 65.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.06.2015 40.2N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.06.2015 41.9N 57.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.06.2015 44.1N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.06.2015 46.8N 50.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.06.2015 49.5N 46.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 10.5N 90.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.06.2015 10.0N 90.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.06.2015 10.6N 90.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.06.2015 12.2N 89.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 19.0N 102.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.06.2015 19.0N 102.4W MODERATE 12UTC 09.06.2015 18.3N 100.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 31.0N 74.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.06.2015 32.3N 73.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 031617