000 WTNT80 EGRR 311617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.05.2015 HURRICANE ANDRES ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 118.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.05.2015 15.4N 118.3W MODERATE 00UTC 01.06.2015 15.1N 119.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.06.2015 15.5N 120.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.06.2015 16.4N 122.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.06.2015 17.4N 123.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.06.2015 18.4N 125.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.06.2015 19.2N 125.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.06.2015 19.8N 125.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.06.2015 19.9N 124.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.06.2015 20.0N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.06.2015 19.7N 124.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.06.2015 19.3N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.06.2015 18.8N 125.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.1N 106.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.06.2015 12.5N 106.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.06.2015 12.7N 106.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.06.2015 12.3N 106.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.06.2015 11.7N 107.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.06.2015 10.6N 107.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.06.2015 10.1N 107.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.06.2015 10.4N 108.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.06.2015 11.4N 109.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.06.2015 12.5N 111.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.06.2015 13.8N 112.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 8.8N 141.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.06.2015 8.0N 142.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 03.06.2015 8.7N 144.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.06.2015 8.1N 145.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.06.2015 8.8N 147.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.06.2015 8.3N 149.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.06.2015 8.0N 151.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.06.2015 7.6N 153.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.06.2015 7.2N 154.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311617