000
WTNT80 EGRR 310417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.05.2015

             HURRICANE ANDRES     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 117.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.05.2015  15.2N 117.2W    STRONG
 12UTC 31.05.2015  15.6N 118.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.06.2015  15.6N 120.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.06.2015  16.1N 121.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015  16.7N 122.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015  17.4N 124.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.06.2015  18.5N 125.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.06.2015  19.4N 126.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.06.2015  20.0N 126.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.06.2015  20.0N 125.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.06.2015  20.0N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.06.2015  19.7N 124.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.06.2015  19.4N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.2N 139.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.05.2015  10.2N 139.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 31.05.2015  10.1N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.06.2015   9.9N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.06.2015   9.9N 139.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015   9.9N 140.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015   9.6N 141.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.06.2015   9.2N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.06.2015   9.1N 143.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.06.2015   9.3N 145.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.06.2015   9.6N 147.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.06.2015   9.2N 149.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.06.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.5N 105.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.06.2015  12.5N 105.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015  12.8N 107.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015  12.4N 107.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.06.2015  12.3N 107.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.06.2015  11.4N 108.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.06.2015  10.1N 108.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.06.2015   9.8N 108.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.06.2015  10.3N 108.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.06.2015  11.1N 110.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.06.2015  12.1N 111.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 310417