000
WTNT80 EGRR 281617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.05.2015

        TROPICAL STORM 01E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.3N 111.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.05.2015  11.3N 111.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.05.2015  11.9N 112.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.05.2015  12.9N 114.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.05.2015  14.2N 116.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.05.2015  14.9N 117.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.05.2015  15.9N 118.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.05.2015  16.9N 120.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.06.2015  17.7N 121.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.06.2015  18.3N 123.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015  18.7N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015  19.1N 127.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.06.2015  19.2N 130.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.06.2015  19.2N 132.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.5N 133.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.05.2015  10.5N 133.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.05.2015   9.9N 135.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.05.2015   9.7N 135.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.05.2015   9.3N 136.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.05.2015   9.5N 137.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.05.2015   9.6N 137.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.05.2015   9.4N 138.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.06.2015   9.3N 138.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.06.2015   9.0N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015   9.0N 140.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015   9.0N 141.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.06.2015   9.4N 143.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.06.2015  10.0N 145.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.6N 111.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.06.2015  11.6N 111.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.06.2015  11.4N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.06.2015  10.5N 112.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281617