000
WTNT80 EGRR 271617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.05.2015

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.4N 131.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.05.2015  11.4N 131.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.05.2015  10.6N 132.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.05.2015  10.0N 133.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.05.2015  10.5N 135.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.05.2015  10.5N 136.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.05.2015  10.5N 137.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.05.2015  10.7N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.05.2015  10.5N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.05.2015  10.5N 140.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.06.2015  10.5N 141.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.06.2015  10.3N 142.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015   9.7N 143.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015   9.5N 144.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 11.8N 110.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.05.2015  11.8N 110.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.05.2015  12.5N 112.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.05.2015  13.2N 114.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.05.2015  14.2N 115.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.05.2015  15.3N 115.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.05.2015  16.7N 116.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.05.2015  17.8N 117.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.06.2015  18.9N 118.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.06.2015  20.0N 118.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015  20.8N 119.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.06.2015  21.5N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 :  9.0N 123.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.05.2015   9.0N 124.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.05.2015   8.8N 123.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.05.2015   8.9N 123.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.05.2015   9.8N 123.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.06.2015  11.1N 124.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.06.2015  11.9N 126.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.06.2015  12.7N 127.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015  13.6N 129.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 12.1N 108.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.06.2015  12.1N 108.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.06.2015  10.9N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.06.2015  10.8N 110.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 271617