000 WTNT80 EGRR 100417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.12.2014 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 4.8N 94.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.12.2014 4.8N 94.4W WEAK 12UTC 10.12.2014 4.8N 95.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.12.2014 5.4N 96.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.12.2014 6.5N 98.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.12.2014 7.0N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.12.2014 7.1N 103.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.12.2014 7.4N 105.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.12.2014 8.6N 107.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.12.2014 9.8N 109.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.12.2014 10.5N 111.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.12.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.1N 79.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.12.2014 11.1N 79.5W WEAK 12UTC 15.12.2014 12.0N 78.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.12.2014 12.7N 78.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100417