000 WTNT80 EGRR 071617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.12.2014 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 5.7N 93.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.12.2014 5.7N 93.3W WEAK 12UTC 09.12.2014 5.5N 95.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.12.2014 5.1N 96.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.12.2014 5.2N 97.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.12.2014 5.0N 99.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.12.2014 5.7N 101.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.12.2014 6.3N 103.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.12.2014 7.0N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.12.2014 7.9N 107.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.12.2014 9.1N 109.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 32.3N 71.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.12.2014 32.3N 71.5W WEAK 12UTC 09.12.2014 36.2N 72.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.12.2014 40.4N 72.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.12.2014 41.5N 72.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.12.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 36.3N 69.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.12.2014 36.3N 69.0W MODERATE 00UTC 11.12.2014 42.7N 70.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.12.2014 44.7N 74.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.12.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071617