000
WHXX01 KMIA 311836
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1836 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE (EP212014) 20141031 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        141031  1800   141101  0600   141101  1800   141102  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.7N 101.2W    9.6N 102.9W    9.9N 104.9W   10.7N 107.1W
BAMD     9.7N 101.2W    9.3N 102.6W    9.4N 104.3W   10.0N 106.3W
BAMM     9.7N 101.2W    9.4N 102.6W    9.6N 104.4W   10.4N 106.4W
LBAR     9.7N 101.2W    9.5N 102.2W   10.2N 103.4W   11.2N 104.9W
SHIP        40KTS          42KTS          50KTS          59KTS
DSHP        40KTS          42KTS          50KTS          59KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        141102  1800   141103  1800   141104  1800   141105  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.8N 109.2W   14.3N 111.7W   16.0N 110.5W   16.7N 108.4W
BAMD    11.1N 108.2W   15.4N 110.3W   21.7N 105.9W   29.1N  95.6W
BAMM    11.7N 108.4W   15.6N 110.5W   20.5N 107.4W   24.8N 100.1W
LBAR    12.1N 106.1W   15.8N 108.2W   19.7N 107.5W   22.4N 104.6W
SHIP        67KTS          71KTS          50KTS          24KTS
DSHP        67KTS          71KTS          50KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   9.7N LONCUR = 101.2W DIRCUR = 245DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  10.5N LONM12 = 100.3W DIRM12 = 187DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  11.1N LONM24 = 100.6W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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