000
WHXX01 KMIA 311248
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1248 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE (EP212014) 20141031 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        141031  1200   141101  0000   141101  1200   141102  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.2N 100.5W    9.5N 102.3W    9.2N 104.4W    9.4N 106.5W
BAMD    10.2N 100.5W    9.3N 101.9W    8.8N 103.7W    8.7N 106.0W
BAMM    10.2N 100.5W    9.4N 102.0W    9.2N 103.9W    9.6N 106.0W
LBAR    10.2N 100.5W    9.9N 101.1W   10.3N 101.9W   11.3N 102.7W
SHIP        40KTS          44KTS          53KTS          63KTS
DSHP        40KTS          44KTS          53KTS          63KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        141102  1200   141103  1200   141104  1200   141105  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.2N 108.4W   12.7N 110.6W   14.6N 109.8W   15.3N 109.3W
BAMD     9.2N 107.9W   12.3N 109.6W   16.9N 107.2W   20.2N 100.6W
BAMM    10.6N 107.9W   14.5N 109.9W   19.8N 107.2W   24.6N 100.5W
LBAR    12.4N 103.5W   15.8N 104.7W   19.9N 104.3W   23.0N 101.5W
SHIP        73KTS          76KTS          54KTS          17KTS
DSHP        73KTS          76KTS          54KTS          25KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.2N LONCUR = 100.5W DIRCUR = 200DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  10.8N LONM12 = 100.5W DIRM12 = 154DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  11.2N LONM24 = 100.3W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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