000 WTNT80 EGRR 291617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.10.2014 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.2N 100.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.10.2014 11.2N 100.0W WEAK 12UTC 30.10.2014 11.2N 100.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.10.2014 11.0N 101.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2014 9.6N 102.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.11.2014 9.3N 103.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.11.2014 9.2N 105.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.11.2014 9.8N 107.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.11.2014 10.6N 110.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.11.2014 12.0N 112.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.11.2014 14.0N 113.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.11.2014 16.8N 113.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.11.2014 19.5N 111.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.0N 150.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.11.2014 11.2N 151.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.11.2014 11.0N 153.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.11.2014 11.2N 155.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.11.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.2N 141.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.11.2014 11.3N 142.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.11.2014 12.0N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291617