000
WTNT80 EGRR 290417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.10.2014

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 11.0N 100.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.10.2014  12.3N  99.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.10.2014  11.6N 100.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2014  10.9N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2014  10.1N 102.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2014   9.5N 104.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2014   9.2N 106.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2014   9.7N 108.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.11.2014  10.5N 111.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2014  11.7N 113.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2014  13.4N 115.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.11.2014  15.2N 115.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 36.0N  71.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.11.2014  36.0N  71.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.11.2014  37.1N  68.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2014  38.9N  61.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 290417