000
WTNT80 EGRR 281617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.10.2014

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.9N  97.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.10.2014  10.9N  97.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.10.2014  11.0N  98.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2014  11.8N  98.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2014  11.8N 100.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2014  11.6N 100.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2014  11.0N 101.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2014  10.1N 101.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2014   9.5N 102.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2014   9.4N 104.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2014   9.9N 106.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2014  10.8N 109.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2014  12.3N 111.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2014  14.3N 113.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 34.1N  67.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.10.2014  34.1N  67.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.11.2014  37.6N  63.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2014  37.5N  66.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.11.2014  40.4N  65.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.11.2014  42.3N  63.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2014  47.1N  60.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2014  50.5N  53.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281617