000 WTNT80 EGRR 271617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM HANNA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.1N 82.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.10.2014 15.1N 82.8W WEAK 00UTC 28.10.2014 15.4N 83.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 9.7N 95.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.10.2014 9.7N 95.5W WEAK 00UTC 28.10.2014 10.2N 96.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 10.7N 97.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2014 11.3N 98.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2014 12.0N 99.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2014 12.4N 99.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.10.2014 12.6N 100.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.10.2014 12.5N 100.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2014 11.6N 101.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.11.2014 11.0N 102.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.11.2014 10.7N 104.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.11.2014 11.1N 105.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.11.2014 12.1N 107.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 16.3N 85.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.10.2014 16.3N 85.9W WEAK 00UTC 29.10.2014 17.1N 88.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2014 17.5N 89.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 33.2N 67.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.11.2014 35.2N 65.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 01.11.2014 42.6N 60.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.11.2014 48.7N 52.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.11.2014 52.6N 47.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 271617