000
WTNT80 EGRR 251617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.10.2014

             HURRICANE ANA        ANALYSED POSITION : 33.2N 165.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2014  33.2N 165.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 26.10.2014  36.9N 159.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2014  41.5N 151.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2014  46.5N 144.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.10.2014  49.6N 141.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2014  48.9N 141.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2014  49.3N 136.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2014  52.8N 130.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 26.5N  72.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2014  26.5N  72.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.10.2014  28.7N  67.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2014  33.4N  60.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 :  9.9N  96.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.10.2014  10.6N  96.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2014  10.5N  96.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2014  11.2N  96.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2014  12.6N  97.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2014  13.4N  97.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2014  14.3N  98.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.10.2014  14.1N  99.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2014  13.5N  99.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.10.2014  12.4N 100.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 251617