000
WTNT80 EGRR 240417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.10.2014

        TROPICAL STORM ANA        ANALYSED POSITION : 26.9N 169.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.10.2014  26.9N 169.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 24.10.2014  28.0N 170.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2014  30.0N 168.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2014  32.5N 165.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.10.2014  35.8N 159.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2014  40.0N 151.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2014  44.9N 142.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2014  49.1N 139.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2014  49.6N 139.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2014  48.9N 134.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.10.2014  53.1N 130.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 24.3N  77.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.10.2014  25.4N  76.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.10.2014  26.6N  71.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2014  28.5N  67.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 10.7N  95.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.10.2014  10.7N  95.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 26.10.2014  10.0N  96.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2014  10.0N  96.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2014  10.5N  96.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2014  11.1N  96.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2014  12.0N  95.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.10.2014  13.4N  95.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.10.2014  14.3N  94.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2014  14.8N  94.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 240417