000 WTNT80 EGRR 230417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 24.6N 167.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2014 24.6N 167.2W WEAK 12UTC 23.10.2014 26.0N 168.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 26.9N 169.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 28.1N 170.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 30.0N 168.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 32.4N 165.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.10.2014 35.7N 160.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 40.1N 152.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 46.0N 143.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.10.2014 49.6N 141.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.10.2014 49.0N 140.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 48.6N 134.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 91.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2014 19.3N 91.3W WEAK 12UTC 23.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 9.8N 128.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.10.2014 10.0N 128.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 10.3N 128.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 10.6N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 11.4N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 12.3N 128.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 13.5N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 13.3N 128.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 13.0N 129.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 13.1N 130.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2014 12.7N 131.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 13.2N 132.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2014 13.2N 133.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 38.7N 71.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.10.2014 38.7N 71.5W MODERATE 00UTC 24.10.2014 40.0N 69.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 41.2N 66.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 42.8N 63.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 44.5N 60.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 46.6N 53.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 9.5N 136.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.10.2014 9.5N 136.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 25.10.2014 9.9N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 10.7N 135.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 10.7N 136.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 10.5N 137.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.2N 94.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2014 10.4N 95.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.10.2014 9.9N 95.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 9.8N 94.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 10.5N 94.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2014 10.9N 94.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 12.0N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2014 12.8N 94.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 16.6N 84.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.10.2014 16.2N 84.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 16.0N 84.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 16.2N 84.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2014 17.1N 85.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 17.7N 86.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 230417