000 WTNT80 EGRR 221617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 23.0N 167.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2014 23.0N 167.2W WEAK 00UTC 23.10.2014 24.5N 167.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2014 25.7N 168.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 26.5N 170.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 27.5N 170.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 29.0N 169.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 31.0N 167.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.10.2014 33.8N 163.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 37.8N 156.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 43.5N 146.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.10.2014 49.2N 139.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.10.2014 51.2N 138.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 51.4N 131.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 19.6N 92.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2014 19.6N 92.3W WEAK 00UTC 23.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 37.4N 71.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2014 37.4N 71.8W WEAK 00UTC 23.10.2014 39.9N 71.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2014 39.7N 71.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 40.2N 69.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 41.2N 67.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 42.1N 64.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 44.4N 58.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 48.0N 52.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 9.8N 127.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.10.2014 9.8N 127.3W WEAK 12UTC 24.10.2014 10.4N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 11.1N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 12.0N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 12.5N 127.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 12.4N 127.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 11.9N 128.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 10.3N 137.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.10.2014 10.2N 137.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 10.5N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 11.3N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 11.4N 136.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 11.5N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 11.7N 139.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 12.0N 93.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.10.2014 12.0N 93.4W WEAK 12UTC 25.10.2014 11.6N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 10.8N 94.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 10.2N 94.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 11.3N 94.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 11.4N 94.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2014 12.1N 94.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2014 12.2N 94.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 221617