000 WTNT80 EGRR 211617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N 165.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.10.2014 21.3N 165.1W WEAK 00UTC 22.10.2014 22.3N 166.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2014 23.5N 167.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2014 24.9N 167.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2014 26.1N 168.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2014 27.1N 169.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 28.3N 170.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 30.5N 168.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.10.2014 33.2N 165.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.10.2014 36.5N 160.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 40.2N 152.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 43.4N 142.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 45.5N 133.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 19.6N 93.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.10.2014 19.6N 93.6W WEAK 12UTC 22.10.2014 18.9N 93.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2014 18.9N 92.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2014 19.0N 92.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 18.5N 92.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 9.3N 127.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.10.2014 9.3N 127.9W WEAK 12UTC 24.10.2014 10.1N 127.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2014 10.5N 127.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 11.2N 127.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 12.1N 128.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 12.2N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 12.1N 129.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 12.3N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 9.8N 132.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.10.2014 10.0N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2014 10.3N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2014 10.5N 133.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2014 10.9N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 11.5N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 11.7N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 24.8N 76.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2014 24.8N 76.5W WEAK 12UTC 26.10.2014 25.4N 75.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2014 25.1N 77.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2014 26.3N 78.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 10.8N 88.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.10.2014 10.8N 88.9W WEAK 12UTC 27.10.2014 11.6N 88.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211617